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Message type: E = Error
Message class: /SAPAPO/AMON_LIST -
Message number: 074
Message text: MLR: Durbin-h upper limit exceeded by &UNI_PERCENT %
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/SAPAPO/AMON_LIST074
- MLR: Durbin-h upper limit exceeded by &UNI_PERCENT % ?The SAP error message
/SAPAPO/AMON_LIST074 MLR: Durbin-h upper limit exceeded by &UNI_PERCENT %
is related to the Advanced Planning and Optimization (APO) module in SAP, specifically in the context of statistical forecasting. This error indicates that the Durbin-H statistic, which is used to test for autocorrelation in the residuals of a time series model, has exceeded a predefined upper limit. This can suggest that the model may not be adequately capturing the underlying patterns in the data, leading to unreliable forecasts.Cause:
- Autocorrelation: The primary cause of this error is the presence of autocorrelation in the time series data. This means that the residuals (the differences between the observed and predicted values) are correlated with each other, which violates the assumption of independence in many statistical models.
- Model Specification: The forecasting model may not be correctly specified. This could be due to missing variables, incorrect functional forms, or inappropriate model selection.
- Data Quality: Poor data quality, such as outliers, missing values, or incorrect data entries, can also lead to this issue.
- Seasonality or Trend: If the data exhibits strong seasonal patterns or trends that are not accounted for in the model, it can lead to autocorrelation in the residuals.
Solution:
- Review the Model: Check the forecasting model being used. Consider whether it is appropriate for the data. You may need to switch to a different model that better captures the underlying patterns.
- Check for Autocorrelation: Use statistical tests (like the Durbin-Watson test) to check for autocorrelation in the residuals. If autocorrelation is present, consider using models that account for it, such as ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) models.
- Data Cleaning: Ensure that the data is clean and free from outliers or errors. Address any missing values appropriately.
- Incorporate Seasonality/Trend: If the data has seasonal or trend components, ensure that these are included in the model. This may involve using seasonal decomposition or adding trend variables.
- Adjust Parameters: If applicable, adjust the parameters of the forecasting model to better fit the data.
- Consult Documentation: Refer to SAP documentation or support for specific guidelines related to the error message and recommended practices for statistical forecasting in APO.
Related Information:
By addressing the underlying causes and implementing the suggested solutions, you should be able to resolve the error and improve the reliability of your forecasts in SAP APO.
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