How To Fix TE244 - Confidence level is outside permitted area

SAP Error Message - Details

• Message type: E = Error

• Message class: TE - Market Risk Management

• Message number: 244

• Message text: Confidence level is outside permitted area

Self-Explanatory Message

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Smart SAP Assistant

• What is the cause and solution for SAP error message TE244 - Confidence level is outside permitted area ?

  The SAP error message TE244, which states "Confidence level is outside permitted area," typically occurs in the context of statistical analysis or forecasting within SAP systems, particularly in modules related to planning and analytics, such as SAP Integrated Business Planning (IBP) or SAP Advanced Planning and Optimization (APO).
  Cause:
  The error indicates that the confidence level calculated for a forecast or statistical model is outside the acceptable range defined in the system. This can happen due to several reasons:
  
  Data Quality Issues: Poor quality or insufficient historical data can lead to unreliable forecasts, resulting in confidence levels that are too high or too low.
  Model Configuration: The statistical model or algorithm being used may not be properly configured, leading to unrealistic confidence levels.
  Parameter Settings: The settings for confidence levels in the forecasting parameters may be incorrectly defined, allowing for values that are not feasible.
  Outliers: The presence of outliers in the data can skew the results, causing the confidence level to fall outside the permitted range.
  
  Solution:
  To resolve the TE244 error, consider the following steps:
  
  Review Data Quality: Check the historical data used for forecasting. Ensure that it is complete, accurate, and free from anomalies or outliers. Clean the data if necessary.
  Adjust Model Parameters: Review the configuration of the forecasting model. Ensure that the parameters for confidence levels are set correctly and are within the expected range.
  Modify Confidence Level Settings: If applicable, adjust the settings for confidence levels in the forecasting parameters to allow for a broader range, if justified by the data.
  Use Alternative Models: If the current model consistently produces unrealistic confidence levels, consider using a different statistical model that may be more suitable for the data characteristics.
  Consult Documentation: Refer to SAP documentation or help resources for specific guidance on the forecasting model being used and the expected ranges for confidence levels.
  Seek Expert Assistance: If the issue persists, consider consulting with an SAP expert or a data analyst who can provide deeper insights into the statistical methods being applied.
  
  Related Information:
  
  SAP Notes: Check for any relevant SAP Notes that may address this specific error or provide updates and patches that could resolve underlying issues.
  Training and Documentation: Familiarize yourself with the statistical forecasting features in SAP, including best practices for data preparation and model selection.
  Community Forums: Engage with SAP community forums or user groups where similar issues may have been discussed, and solutions shared.
  
  By following these steps, you should be able to identify the root cause of the TE244 error and implement a solution to resolve it.