How To Fix /SAPAPO/MLR_IN_UNIV005 - Causal variable &1 not considered (t-test negative)


SAP Error Message - Details

  • Message type: E = Error

  • Message class: /SAPAPO/MLR_IN_UNIV -

  • Message number: 005

  • Message text: Causal variable &1 not considered (t-test negative)

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  • What is the cause and solution for SAP error message /SAPAPO/MLR_IN_UNIV005 - Causal variable &1 not considered (t-test negative) ?

    The SAP error message /SAPAPO/MLR_IN_UNIV005 Causal variable &1 not considered (t-test negative) typically occurs in the context of SAP Advanced Planning and Optimization (APO) when performing statistical analysis for demand planning or forecasting. This error indicates that a specific causal variable (denoted by &1) has been excluded from the model due to a negative t-test result, suggesting that the variable does not have a statistically significant impact on the dependent variable being analyzed.

    Cause:

    1. Insufficient Correlation: The causal variable may not have a strong enough correlation with the target variable, leading to a negative t-test result.
    2. Data Quality Issues: There may be issues with the data quality, such as missing values, outliers, or incorrect data entries that affect the statistical analysis.
    3. Model Specification: The model may be incorrectly specified, or the causal variable may not be relevant for the specific forecasting scenario.
    4. Sample Size: A small sample size can lead to unreliable statistical results, including negative t-tests.

    Solution:

    1. Review the Causal Variable: Check the relevance of the causal variable in the context of the forecasting model. If it is not relevant, consider removing it from the model.
    2. Data Cleaning: Ensure that the data used for the analysis is clean and free from errors. Address any missing values or outliers that may skew the results.
    3. Increase Sample Size: If possible, increase the sample size to improve the reliability of the statistical tests.
    4. Re-evaluate Model Specification: Consider re-evaluating the model to ensure that it is correctly specified and that the causal variables included are appropriate for the analysis.
    5. Consult Statistical Guidelines: Refer to statistical guidelines or consult with a statistician to understand the implications of the t-test results and how to interpret them in the context of your analysis.

    Related Information:

    • T-Test: A t-test is a statistical test used to determine if there is a significant difference between the means of two groups. In this context, it assesses whether the causal variable has a significant effect on the dependent variable.
    • Causal Variables in Forecasting: Causal variables are external factors that can influence the demand for a product. Proper selection and validation of these variables are crucial for accurate forecasting.
    • SAP APO Documentation: Refer to the official SAP documentation for APO for more detailed information on statistical forecasting and causal variable analysis.

    By addressing the underlying issues that lead to the negative t-test result, you can improve the forecasting model and potentially resolve the error message.

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