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Message type: E = Error
Message class: /SAPAPO/MA -
Message number: 724
Message text: Durbin-Watson is too high
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/SAPAPO/MA724
- Durbin-Watson is too high ?The SAP error message
/SAPAPO/MA724 Durbin-Watson is too high
is related to the statistical analysis performed in the context of demand planning or forecasting within the SAP Advanced Planning and Optimization (APO) module. The Durbin-Watson statistic is a measure used to detect the presence of autocorrelation in the residuals from a regression analysis. A value that is too high indicates that there may be a problem with the model, specifically that the residuals are not behaving as expected.Cause:
- Model Specification Issues: The forecasting model may not be correctly specified, leading to inappropriate relationships between the variables.
- Data Quality: Poor quality data, such as outliers or incorrect values, can skew the results and lead to a high Durbin-Watson statistic.
- Overfitting: The model may be too complex, capturing noise rather than the underlying trend, which can result in high autocorrelation in the residuals.
- Seasonality and Trends: If the data has strong seasonal patterns or trends that are not adequately modeled, it can lead to high Durbin-Watson values.
Solution:
- Review the Forecasting Model: Check the model parameters and ensure that the model is appropriate for the data being analyzed. Consider simplifying the model if it is too complex.
- Data Cleaning: Inspect the input data for outliers or anomalies. Clean the data to ensure that it accurately reflects the underlying trends.
- Adjust for Seasonality: If the data exhibits seasonality, ensure that the model accounts for this. You may need to use seasonal decomposition or other techniques to adjust for seasonal effects.
- Re-evaluate the Variables: Consider whether all the variables included in the model are necessary and relevant. Remove any that do not contribute meaningfully to the model.
- Consult Documentation: Refer to SAP documentation or support for specific guidelines on addressing this error in the context of your particular implementation.
Related Information:
If the problem persists after trying the above solutions, it may be beneficial to consult with a data analyst or an SAP expert who can provide more tailored assistance based on the specific context of your data and forecasting model.
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