How To Fix /SAPAPO/FCST154 - MAPE for statistical forecasting: &1

SAP Error Message - Details

• Message type: E = Error

• Message class: /SAPAPO/FCST -

• Message number: 154

• Message text: MAPE for statistical forecasting: &1

Self-Explanatory Message

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Smart SAP Assistant

• What is the cause and solution for SAP error message /SAPAPO/FCST154 - MAPE for statistical forecasting: &1 ?

  The SAP error message /SAPAPO/FCST154 MAPE for statistical forecasting: &1 typically relates to issues encountered during the statistical forecasting process in SAP Advanced Planning and Optimization (APO). The MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) is a common measure used to assess the accuracy of forecasting models.
  Cause:
  
  Insufficient Historical Data: The error may occur if there is not enough historical data available for the forecasting model to generate accurate predictions.
  Data Quality Issues: Missing, inconsistent, or erroneous data can lead to inaccurate calculations of MAPE.
  Model Configuration: The statistical forecasting model may not be configured correctly, leading to issues in the calculation of MAPE.
  Zero or Near-Zero Values: If the actual values in the historical data contain zeros or near-zero values, it can lead to division by zero or very small numbers, resulting in undefined or misleading MAPE values.
  
  Solution:
  
  Check Historical Data: Ensure that there is sufficient and high-quality historical data available for the forecasting period. Clean the data to remove any inconsistencies or errors.
  Review Model Settings: Verify the configuration of the statistical forecasting model. Ensure that the parameters are set correctly and that the model is appropriate for the data being used.
  Handle Zero Values: If the historical data contains zeros, consider using a different forecasting method or adjusting the data to avoid division by zero errors. You might also want to apply a small constant to avoid this issue.
  Re-run the Forecast: After making the necessary adjustments to the data and model settings, re-run the statistical forecasting process to see if the error persists.
  
  Related Information:
  
  MAPE Calculation: MAPE is calculated as the average of the absolute percentage errors between the forecasted and actual values. It is expressed as a percentage and is useful for understanding the accuracy of forecasts.
  SAP Notes and Documentation: Check SAP Notes for any known issues or patches related to this error message. SAP's official documentation may also provide insights into best practices for statistical forecasting.
  User Forums and Community: Engaging with the SAP community through forums can provide additional insights and solutions from other users who may have encountered similar issues.
  
  If the problem persists after trying the above solutions, it may be beneficial to consult with an SAP expert or support for further assistance.