How To Fix /SAPAPO/ESPP_PR455 - Automatic model selection has selected the external forecast


SAP Error Message - Details

  • Message type: E = Error

  • Message class: /SAPAPO/ESPP_PR -

  • Message number: 455

  • Message text: Automatic model selection has selected the external forecast

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  • Self-Explanatory Message

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    To make things easier, more detailed information is frequently added to describe the issue, how to fix it, and the necessary steps or configuration modifications.

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Smart SAP Assistant

  • What is the cause and solution for SAP error message /SAPAPO/ESPP_PR455 - Automatic model selection has selected the external forecast ?

    The SAP error message /SAPAPO/ESPP_PR455 indicates that the automatic model selection process in SAP Advanced Planning and Optimization (APO) has chosen to use an external forecast for a particular planning object. This message is not necessarily an error but rather an informational message indicating the decision made by the system regarding forecast selection.

    Cause:

    1. External Forecast Availability: The system has detected that an external forecast is available for the planning object in question. This could be due to data being imported from an external source or a previous forecast generated outside of the SAP system.
    2. Model Selection Criteria: The automatic model selection process evaluates various forecasting models based on historical data and performance metrics. If the external forecast is deemed more accurate or suitable based on these criteria, it will be selected.
    3. Configuration Settings: The settings in the forecasting profile or the configuration of the planning area may prioritize external forecasts over internal ones.

    Solution:

    1. Review Forecasting Profiles: Check the configuration of the forecasting profiles in SAP APO. Ensure that the settings align with your business requirements and that the automatic model selection criteria are appropriate.
    2. Evaluate External Forecasts: Assess the quality and accuracy of the external forecasts being used. If they are not meeting expectations, consider adjusting the source or methodology of the external forecasts.
    3. Adjust Model Selection Settings: If you prefer to use internal forecasts over external ones, you may need to adjust the model selection settings in the forecasting profile to prioritize internal models.
    4. Manual Override: If necessary, you can manually select a different forecasting model for specific planning objects if the automatic selection does not meet your needs.

    Related Information:

    • Forecasting Models: Familiarize yourself with the different forecasting models available in SAP APO and their respective strengths and weaknesses.
    • Data Quality: Ensure that the data being fed into the forecasting process, whether internal or external, is of high quality and relevant to the planning context.
    • Documentation: Refer to SAP documentation or help resources for detailed guidance on configuring forecasting profiles and understanding the automatic model selection process.
    • SAP Notes: Check for any relevant SAP Notes that may address specific issues or enhancements related to forecasting and model selection.

    By understanding the context of this message and taking appropriate actions, you can ensure that your forecasting process in SAP APO aligns with your business objectives.

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