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Message type: E = Error
Message class: /SAPAPO/AMON_LIST -
Message number: 065
Message text: MAPE upper limit exceeded by &UNI_PERCENT %
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/SAPAPO/AMON_LIST065
- MAPE upper limit exceeded by &UNI_PERCENT % ?The SAP error message
/SAPAPO/AMON_LIST065 MAPE upper limit exceeded by &UNI_PERCENT %
is related to the Advanced Planning and Optimization (APO) module in SAP, specifically in the context of demand planning and forecasting. This error indicates that the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) for a particular forecast exceeds a predefined upper limit, which can be a cause for concern in terms of forecast accuracy.Cause:
High Forecast Error: The MAPE is a measure of forecast accuracy, and a high MAPE indicates that the forecasted values deviate significantly from the actual values. This can happen due to:
- Inaccurate historical data.
- Changes in market conditions that were not accounted for in the forecast.
- Seasonal fluctuations or trends that were not captured.
- Poorly defined forecasting models or parameters.
Configuration Issues: The upper limit for MAPE might be set too low for the specific context or product, leading to frequent violations of this threshold.
Data Quality Issues: Missing or incorrect data can lead to inaccurate forecasts, resulting in high MAPE values.
Solution:
Review Forecasting Models: Analyze the forecasting models being used. Consider adjusting the parameters or switching to a different model that may better capture the demand patterns.
Data Validation: Ensure that the historical data used for forecasting is accurate and complete. Cleanse the data to remove any anomalies or outliers that could skew the results.
Adjust MAPE Threshold: If the current upper limit for MAPE is too strict for the specific product or context, consider adjusting it to a more realistic value based on historical performance.
Analyze Demand Patterns: Look for any changes in demand patterns that may not have been accounted for in the forecasting process. This could include market trends, seasonality, or promotional activities.
Collaboration with Stakeholders: Engage with sales, marketing, and supply chain teams to gather insights on potential factors affecting demand that may not be reflected in historical data.
Use of Safety Stock: If high variability in demand is expected, consider implementing safety stock strategies to mitigate the impact of forecast inaccuracies.
Related Information:
MAPE Calculation: MAPE is calculated as the average of the absolute percentage errors between the forecasted and actual values. It is expressed as a percentage and is commonly used to assess forecast accuracy.
SAP APO Configuration: Familiarize yourself with the configuration settings in SAP APO related to forecasting and MAPE thresholds. This may involve accessing the configuration settings in the SAP system.
Documentation and Support: Refer to SAP documentation for detailed information on forecasting in APO and best practices for improving forecast accuracy. If necessary, consult with SAP support for assistance with specific issues related to this error message.
By addressing the underlying causes and implementing the suggested solutions, you can work towards reducing the MAPE and improving the overall accuracy of your forecasts in SAP APO.
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