Message type: E = Error
Message class: /SAPAPO/AMON_ALERTS -
Message number: 443
Message text: MLR: Shortfall below Durbin Watson lower limit
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/SAPAPO/AMON_ALERTS443
- MLR: Shortfall below Durbin Watson lower limit ?The SAP error message /SAPAPO/AMON_ALERTS443 MLR: Shortfall below Durbin Watson lower limit is related to the Advanced Planning and Optimization (APO) module in SAP, specifically in the context of demand planning and forecasting. This error indicates that the model's residuals (the differences between the observed and predicted values) are not behaving as expected, which can lead to unreliable forecasts.
Cause: The Durbin-Watson statistic is a test for autocorrelation in the residuals from a regression analysis. A value below the lower limit indicates that there is significant positive autocorrelation in the residuals, which suggests that the model may not be capturing the underlying patterns in the data effectively. This can occur due to several reasons: Model Specification Issues: The forecasting model may not be appropriate for the data, leading to poor fit. Data Quality Issues: The input data may contain outliers, missing values, or other anomalies that affect the model's performance. Seasonality or Trend: The model
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