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Message type: E = Error
Message class: PR - Forecast: Help messages
Message number: 417
Message text: Too few historical values for parameter optimization
The process of optimizing the forecast model parameters is known as
model initialization. A sufficient number of historical values need to
be present before the system can carry out model initialization. This
number varies depending on the forecast model:
Model ,,No. of historical values
Constant model ,,1
Trend model ,,3
Seasonal model ,,1 season
Seasonal trend model ,,1 season + 3
2nd-order exp. smoothing,,3
Moving average ,,1
Weighted moving average ,,1
The system cannot carry out the forecast because there are not enough
historical values for the chosen forecast model.
If possible, choose a forecast model for which there are enough
historical values.
The system issues an error message and will not allow you to continue with this transaction until the error is resolved.
Error message extract from SAP system. Copyright SAP SE.
PR417
- Too few historical values for parameter optimization ?The SAP error message PR417 "Too few historical values for parameter optimization" typically occurs in the context of SAP's Advanced Planning and Optimization (APO) module, particularly when dealing with demand planning or supply network planning. This error indicates that there are insufficient historical data points available for the system to perform parameter optimization effectively.
Cause:
- Insufficient Historical Data: The primary cause of this error is that the system does not have enough historical data points for the specific planning object (e.g., product, location) to calculate the necessary parameters for optimization.
- Data Gaps: There may be gaps in the historical data, such as missing periods or insufficient data points due to low sales volume or irregular demand patterns.
- Configuration Issues: Incorrect configuration of the planning parameters or settings in the APO system can also lead to this error.
Solution:
Increase Historical Data: Ensure that there is enough historical data available for the planning object. This may involve:
- Extending the historical data period.
- Ensuring that data is being collected and stored correctly in the system.
- Using a longer time frame for analysis if possible.
Data Quality Check: Review the historical data for completeness and accuracy. Look for any missing entries or anomalies that could affect the optimization process.
Adjust Planning Parameters: If applicable, adjust the settings for the optimization process. This may include:
- Changing the optimization algorithm or method.
- Modifying the parameters used for forecasting or optimization.
Use Alternative Data Sources: If historical data is limited, consider using alternative data sources or methods for generating forecasts, such as market research or expert judgment.
Consult Documentation: Refer to SAP documentation or help resources for specific guidance on parameter optimization and historical data requirements.
Engage with SAP Support: If the issue persists, consider reaching out to SAP support for assistance. They may provide insights specific to your system configuration and data setup.
Related Information:
By addressing the underlying causes and ensuring that sufficient and accurate historical data is available, you can resolve the PR417 error and improve the effectiveness of parameter optimization in SAP APO.
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